Using the most advanced computer technology ever invented, and a proprietary algorithm devised by a secret government think tank, The Dissolve created The Speculometron to determine the mathematical probability of the Internet’s latest movie rumors.
Rumor: James Gunn is going to direct a third Guardians Of The Galaxy film. Also, hey, there’s going to be a third Guardians Of The Galaxy film.
Source: James Gunn (via The Playlist)
Evidence: “...To be honest, I had the basic story for number two while I was working on number one, and perhaps even beyond that. So it’s gonna answer a lot of questions that are proposed in the first one, and we’ll be able to get to know some of the characters we didn’t get to know in the first one a little bit more, and we might meet a few new characters too.”
The Speculometron’s calculations: There’s little question that Marvel was very pleased with the performance of this summer’s Guardians Of The Galaxy, which earned approximately a bajillion dollars (fine, more precisely, $768 million worldwide, which makes it the No. 3 earner for the Marvel Cinematic Universe, both domestically and internationally), and turned Gunn into a highly bankable blockbuster director. The first film hadn’t even hit theaters when Marvel and Gunn announced a sequel—to be both written and directed by Gunn—at this summer’s Comic-Con. That feature will arrive on May 5, 2017, the third film in the MCU’s planned third phase.
It’s that dating that gives us pause, however. Although Phase Three will end with the fourth Avengers film—Avengers: Infinity War, Part II—it seems a little nutso to assume that this finale will serve as, well, a real finale. With the recent introduction of new standalone features, including Black Panther, Captain Marvel, and Doctor Strange, it seems clear that Marvel is intending on creating a Phase Four and beyond.
Could Guardians Of The Galaxy 3 fit in there? We’re going to say a cautious yes. Marvel loves trilogies—even if they’re often in name only, thanks to the company’s kitchen-sink approach to films that allow most big characters to get a standalone introduction film before folding them into the rest of the MCU and kitting out subsequent features with storylines that extend far beyond their individual adventures—and it would not be surprising if its set Guardians up with its own third film, even if it’s one marked by whatever unfolded at the end of Phase Three. But will Gunn be back? That’s the big question here, because Marvel has a hard time holding on to directors for the full, three-picture run of any character. It hasn’t happened yet, but if Gunn is already thinking about where to take his series next, he might break the mold.
Odds: 3 to 1.