Using the most advanced computer technology ever invented, and a proprietary algorithm devised by a secret government think tank, The Dissolve created The Speculometron to determine the mathematical probability of the Internet’s latest movie rumors.
Rumor: Warner Bros. and director Zack Snyder want an older Batman in their upcoming Batman Vs. Superman film, and are considering casting actors like Josh Brolin, Ryan Gosling, and Joe Manganiello.
Evidence: “The real insight is the kind of Bruce Wayne/Batman that Snyder is looking to cast. According to numerous sources, this Wayne/Batman will be in the late 30s or around the 40 mark. He will be established and rugged. This new movie will not seek to recount an origin story or the rise of the Dark Knight. Christian Bale, The Dark Knight trilogy Batman, has said he won’t return for another film. Sources say the new movie is aiming for the tone of the relationship and fight seen in Frank Miller’s 1980s groundbreaking mini-series The Dark Knight Returns.”
The Speculometron’s calculations: Snyder explicitly referenced Frank Miller’s The Dark Knight Returns in his big Comic-Con announcement of the Batman Vs. Superman project, which does indeed feature an aging Dark Knight in a fight with the Man Of Steel. So if you’re going to make a movie inspired by TDKR, you’re going to need a more mature Batman. (Of course, the guy in Miller’s comic book is at least 10 years older than “late 30s to early 40s,” but whatever.) Unless the project takes a major creative turn, an older Batman is a foregone conclusion.
As for the particular actors who are supposedly on Warner Bros.’ early short list, Brolin definitely sounds like the type of guy they’re looking for, or at least more like the type than the younger and significantly less rugged Gosling. But the Speculometron also observes that almost all movie superheroes these days are played by far less recognizable actors, including Snyder’s own Superman, Henry Cavill. Casting a big movie star would place a drain on the film’s sure-to-be-enormous budget, and could potentially create an onscreen imbalance between the two characters. So early calculations suggest an older Batman, but one who’s not quite so famous.
Odds: Even (that the next Batman will be played by an older actor); 27 to 1 (that said older actor will be Josh Brolin).